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Distributed energy

Electricity blackouts increase 124% and infrastructure crumbles

Economist Paul Krugman points out the dangerous after effects of trying to make government smaller

The lights are going out all over America — literally…a country that once amazed the world with its visionary investments in transportation, from the Erie Canal to the Interstate Highway System, is now in the process of unpaving itself: in a number of states, local governments are breaking up roads they can no longer afford to maintain, and returning them to gravel.

And a nation that once prized education — that was among the first to provide basic schooling to all its children — is now cutting back.

Another grave sign our infrastructure is in dire need of shoring up is the increase in blackouts in the US. CNN reports a 124% in non disaster related blackouts

During the past two decades, such blackouts have increased 124 percent — up from 41 blackouts between 1991 and 1995, to 92 between 2001 and 2005, according to research at the University of Minnesota.

In the most recently analyzed data available, utilities reported 36 such outages in 2006 alone.

“It’s hard to imagine how anyone could believe that — in the United States — we should learn to cope with blackouts,” said University of Minnesota Professor Massoud Amin, a leading expert on the U.S. electricity grid.

Without reliable energy everything comes to a standstill. Without energy we cannot even repair the existing infrastructure. Energy, human sweat included, is critical to a sustainable economy so relying on a system that is clearly breaking down, whatever the reason, is a flawed strategy.

This should make microgrids more and more attractive as both a way to avert blackouts but also to generate badly needed revenue for local economies.

Ducted fans are so easy to drive, watch the LIM being spun by a little fan

Here is proof ducted fans can be driven by a light breeze. The 24″ fan started the 2 meter LIM from a dead stop with no assist. When wind tumbles over the top of a building there is a velocity gain of 180%… so a light 8mph breeze becomes a viable 14mph energy producing wind if you place a ducted fan in its path. Wait til you see it operate in a Class 2 hurricane.

At right is the base complete with brake and access for the electronics

Making the grid ‘smarter’ is not the answer

With all the talk about modern smart grids and the call for increased transmission to deliver new renewable energy to consumers, eager to reduce dependence on fossil fuels, little attention is given to how antiquated and inefficient long distance transmission is. A March 2009, National Geographic article, citing the Energy Information Administration points out, “…for every kilowatt-hour used, 2.2 are “lost” as that energy is generated and sent over transmission lines.”
Hardly a sustainable business model, centralized power production only works for the monopolized utilities because the ratepayer is compelled to pay for their inefficiency by the PUC. The centralized grid delivery system is like taking the mountain to Mohammad except as energy demands increase the mountain keeps getting bigger and further and further away.

As promising as smart grid technology seems the primary goal is better load matching and therefore fewer wide scale blackouts, not efficiency. Smart grids will be effective for managing over spinning events that have wind farms producing excess power and redirecting it elsewhere but it does nothing to reduce wheeling or thermal losses.

Today’s central grid is based on Edison’s 1882 Pearl Street Station in Manhattan, serving less than 500 customers. More than 100 years later advancements in transmission technology have been mainly around stepping up voltage higher and higher to make the ever increasing distances required by building power plants out of sight of the urban centers.

Perhaps because the ratepayer picks up the tab for these losses little has been done to reduce them and the resultant CO2 emissions. Add in the enormous environmental footprint associated with thousands of miles of transmission lines hundreds, even thousands of feet wide, making the central grid ‘smarter’ is perpetuating 19th century technology into a 21st century world.

Cost estimates to improve the central grid vary widely with one suggesting $46B worldwide within the next five years. Investing just 10% of that money into developing utility scale clean storage technology would help eliminate the need for a central grid.

Producing power at the point of consumption, implementing wide scale distributed energy makes more and more sense, environmentally and economically. Smart microgrids can employ multiple renewable technologies such as rooftop wind and solar without any of the losses associated with the central grid.

Practically, it is hard to imagine a technology that wastes 2.2 kilowatt-hours for every single kilowatt-hour produced surviving into the 22nd century. Let’s hope it doesn’t, it simply isn’t sustainable. We should be imagining that next century now, hopefully one without a crisscross labyrinth of ugly transmission lines, something with thousands of independently functioning renewable energy microgrids.

Centralized power grid a giant lightning rod

As a proponent of microgrids, seeing more and more stories like this one about the imminent cyclical solar storms damaging the central grid, is encouraging if not, well, downright scary.

Over the past thirty years, Kappenman has accumulated a vast and compelling body of evidence indicating that sooner or later a major blast of EMP (electromagnetic pulse) from the Sun, a space weather Katrina, will knock out the electrical power grid and bring society to its knees.

“Historically large storms have a potential to cause power grid blackouts and transformer damage of unprecedented proportions. An event that could incapacitate the network for a long time could be one of the largest natural disasters we could face,” he declares. A bluff, friendly man, half science nerd, half overgrown farm boy, Kappenman insists that solar EMP blasts the size of those that occurred in 1859 (before society was electrified) and 1921(before the power grid had developed to the point where it played any significant role) would today result in large-scale blackouts lasting for months or years.

Kappenman contributed to an oft quoted report entitled ‘Severe Space Weather Events’ documenting the horrific cost in both lives and dollars should severe magnetic storms hit. Perpetuating the centralized grid, even if we make it ‘smart’, is simply perpetuating a bad idea. A March 2009 National Geographic article by Peter Miller, points out that ‘…for every kilowatt used, 2.2 are “lost” as that energy is generated and sent over transmission lines .

The world’s power grids, of which the United States has the most extensive, have in essence become giant antennas for space weather blasts. Just as a lightning rod attracts any lightning bolts that might otherwise strike a roof, the power grid, which is designed specifically to be extremely efficient at conducting electricity, attracts space weather bolts. Problem is that, unlike lightning rods, the power grid is gravely vulnerable to such shocks.

Microgrids offer a much better business model, especially in terms of efficiency and definitely reliability.

Rogue River Wind introduces radically new relativistic generator

Coquille, Oregon
Rogue River Wind, Ltd, (RRW) an Oregon renewable energy company has acquired the rights to a revolutionary new relativistic generator (REM) design. RRW is the developer of a ducted fan wind turbine, the V-LIM, capable of operating in low, high and turbulent winds up to Class 2 hurricanes. The V-LIM requires an equally robust, high bandwidth, direct drive generator capable of capitalizing on these powerful kinetic forces. The higher the RPM the more power the REM produces.
Until now modern generator technology began with Barlow and Faraday in England, and rather quickly matured through the dynamo into the recognizably modern generator by about 1900. The REM design represents the first radical design departure in generators since that time.
The REM has no inductive wound coils. Plasma or laser cutters cut continuous and precise shapes simplifying manufacture. There is no inductive steel significantly reducing total weight. The design incorporates a magnet topology that requires only 1/5 the neodymium used in traditional generators. As a low resistance device there are no heating or cooling concerns.
The generator uses no flux targets so there is no magnetic hysteresis. The generator has low internal loss and no thermal loss. The generator operates at a high bandwidth, requires low starting torque and has zero cogging. The direct drive generator can be scaled and stacked to replace existing generators in traditional wind turbines and eliminate the need for gearboxes and reduce the weight at the top of a tower by over 2/3. These combined features result in a 15% efficiency gain over contemporary generator designs.
The general topology can be elementally reconfigured into all different generator design aspects and parameters, from axial to radial. It can function as stacked element generator in a traditional BIG WIND megawatt power mode, or as the power-generating element in a wind turbine based micro grid configuration.
The REM can be used in a radial mode as wheel based motor in an electric vehicle design, or in water driven electrical generation modes. It can replace any traditional field coil or rare earth permanent magnet generator design in most applications, as an efficient coupling element between a mechanical power input, and an electrical power output. It can even be a stepper motor in a disk drive mechanism.
The generator is available for license in any application where generators are required.
For information please contact Mary Geddry, CEO Rogue River Wind, Ltd, at 800-490-8060 x210

The many pitfalls of manufacturing in the US

As stated many times on this blog, Rogue River Wind, seeks, for a multitude of reasons including rebuilding local economies to build its products in the US. Everyone wants jobs, right? So it ought to be pretty much a slam dunk to get production manufacturing done in America or better yet, Oregon, but consider the experiences of A123 lithium-ion batteries and Amazon’s Kindle.

The answer is a story of the obstacles to a rebirth of U.S. manufacturing, and of the tantalizing possibilities if such a rebirth could be achieved. For Chiang’s company has one foot in China and the other in the U.S., reflecting the forces that drive manufacturers overseas and the potential for a renaissance at home.

The obstacles here are rooted in the sad history of manufacturing’s decline in the United States: Despite the promise of Chiang’s batteries, many on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley were incredulous when he and other leaders at A123 asked for capital to build factories in America — Asia, yes, but Michigan, why would you want to?

Even more daunting, nearly all of the world’s battery manufacturing industry is in Asia, where plants can be built faster and supplies and equipment are much easier to get than in the United States. These days, it’s hard to find Americans who even know how to build a battery factory.

Rogue River Wind is certainly learning the complexities of taking a relatively simple device albeit one requiring precise tolerances in Oregon despite the clamber for green jobs. The US has lost control of its own innovation and hence its independence as it has outsourced manufacturing to foreign countries.

The story of the Kindle and its E-Ink technology shares another sad side of what has become of Yankee ingenuity.

…More salient today as an insight into America’s standing in a globalized production system may be the backstory of another consumer electronics sensation–Amazon’s Kindle e-reader–yet here the story has a darker hue.

This I learned reading an excellent forthcoming paper by Gregory Tassey, which referenced a very troubling blog post by the Harvard Business School professor Willy Shih, entitled “The U.S. Can’t Manufacture the Kindle and That’s Problem.” What’s the problem here? Well, according to Shih, the global distribution of Amazon’s production sources for the Kindle betrays a far less benign story of out-sourcing than did the iPod and one that suggests that it does indeed matter how and where U.S. firms locate their production.

Recognizing this, the Obama administration is funding billions of dollars through programs like the USDA to rebuild manufacturing jobs in the US but it isn’t obvious how these funds help a company like Rogue River keep innovation in the US.

Communities for Advanced Distributed Energy Resources

Am attending the CADER conference being held this week in La Jolla. One of the topics so appealing to me is “Community Energy + Cleantech = Homebase for the new economy. ” Hot topics will include community owned energy AND micro-grids!!! They will be talking about the role of energy in our economic future.

No representatives of Coos County attended the Future Energy Conference in Portland that I saw but other communities are actively embracing the potential of energy to produce badly needed revenue streams. The cities of Troutdale, Gresham, Corvallis, Klamath Falls and Portland are all actively implementing and looking for ways to finance energy projects to fund public services.

Then there is Coos Bay…. how long will the citizens allow the moratorium on wind energy??? Rogue River Wind has plenty of business without Coos Bay but the citizens are the real losers if they allow city leaders to ignore decentralized energy opportunities.

Rogue River Wind is getting new website

Slowly, we are getting all those nit picky details that come with a business to develop a website. Still trying to get all the specs and images and photos up but it is moving along at last. Am developing a blog for those interested in talking about renewable energy, distributed energy and capacitive storage technology.

Here is a preview

Rogue River Wind update and a couple of pics

We are closing in on our pre-production prototype and I am lucky to have a great staff in operations. As part of the company goal to provide jobs for veterans three of the four members of our operations department have served their country. My VP of Operations was a Lt Commander with the Navy and managed a 7MW floating power plant and has a masters degree in systems engineering. He is well suited to implementing smart/microgrids with distributed energy sources like small wind and solar and has been instrumental in getting us from earlier prototypes to the production model.

We also have a former helicopter mechanic from the Army (you can imagine how he comes in handy with a turbine like the LIM) and a grunt from the Marine Corp (yes, my grunt). Last, but not least we just added a fourth member to operations who has had a dream of working in wind energy since he was 15. Am very proud of my staff and wanted to give them all a shout out.

Open letter to Coos County Commissioners

Currently, the County is being wooed by Oregon Resources Corporation to sign away mineral rights on some 6,000 acres of publicly owned timberland. ORC offers to pay a royalty of 3 or 3.5% or approximately $1.5M annually at some point in the future. ORC talks about providing 70 jobs at some point in the future. ORC expects the County to upgrade a section of W Beaver Hill Road to industrial grade status at a cost of $450k.

If the County has done an economic impact analysis of entering into the mineral rights business it has yet to be provided to the public. Requests to see the return on investment to the public for the $450k road improvement and the additional costs of other county services required to maintain strip mining in Coos County, have not been answered. It appears the County is actively considering investing public resources in a risky strip mining activity without any idea if and when the public will see a return.

So I have a suggestion. Last year, I submitted an appropriation request to Congress, courageously carried to committee by Peter DeFazio, that would have helped fund a publicly owned 5MW renewable energy micro-grid that would have generated $2M in net annual revenue for local schools. It was called the Western Oregon Wind project or WOW and while as an earmark, it was not funded in appropriations the model would have created or saved 196 family wage jobs and without tearing up timber property or wearing down roads.

The WOW business model is not technology dependent. Electricity is an essential service and producing power locally even with fossil fuel power generation would earn revenue, however, given Coos County has the equivalent of billions of barrels of oil under the ground in wind resource, it would be wise to start drilling it. More importantly, even with low PUC set rates of .07KWH the ROI can be as quick as four years.

In short, Coos County could earn more money and create more jobs by importing less power than it can by privatizing our public resources and signing a deal with ORC and know when to expect a return and how much. Coos County could develop two or three or ten such microgrids and not only fund all of our schools, law enforcement, health and public services, create hundreds if not thousands of jobs and draw tourists just wanting to see how it is done.

Oregon has enough renewable energy resources, with geothermal, wind, PV and micro-hydro to generate 184% of its power needs. Read this report from Energy Self Reliant States.

Why is Coos County exerting so much effort on the handful of jobs promised by LNG and chromite mining when the real future is renewable sustainable energy? We have the resources. We have the technology, geothermal as a base line, wind, solar and CHP for peaks. The technology is affordable, typically 40% less capital cost than centralized power production and it doesn’t require $1M/mile transmission lines. We even have the financing. WOW or its equivalent earns enough to cover debt service and still net $2M annually, and never has there been more money available for renewable energy than right now. We have everything we need to be a self sustaining strong local economy it seems, except the political will.

Decentralized energy is the logical solution to climate change and water shortage

Living in the hydro-rich Pacific Northwest it is hard to imagine rationing showers and lawn watering in order to have a few hours a day of electricity, but that is what is happening in Venezuela right now.

One of the severest droughts in decades has given Venezuela’s socialist president a political nightmare as hydro-electrical power dribbles to a standstill, unleashing blackouts, rationing and protests. The waters behind the Guri dam, which supplies more than half the nation’s power, have touched perilously low levels.

Nevertheless, with energy production requiring as much water as agriculture and once mighty rivers like the Rio Grande no longer reaching the ocean and energy usage expected to grow beyond existing capacity, unless we decentralize now, it will happen here.

There are many reasons I focus upon wind energy, not the least being the ample supply…this from the November 2009 Scientific American.

Plenty of Supply
Today the maximum power consumed worldwide at any given moment is about 12.5 trillion watts (terawatts, or TW), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The agency projects that in 2030 the world will require 16.9 TW of power as global population and living standards rise, with about 2.8 TW in the
U.S. The mix of sources is similar to today’s, heavily dependent on fossil fuels. If, however, the planet were powered entirely by WWS, with no fossil-fuel or biomass combustion, an intriguing savings would occur. Global power demand would be only 11.5 TW, and U.S. demand would be 1.8 TW. That decline occurs because, in most cases, electrification is a more efficient way to use energy. For example, only 17 to 20 percent of the energy in gasoline is used to move a vehicle (the rest is wasted as heat), whereas 75 to 86 percent of the electricity delivered to an electric vehicle goes into motion.

Even if demand did rise to 16.9 TW, WWS sources could provide far more power. Detailed studies by us and others indicate that energy from the wind, worldwide, is about 1,700 TW

Another reason I favor wind is that wind is the only renewable energy source that does not require any water during the production of electricity. Even solar requires massive amounts of water when used in a centralized system.

According to the American Wind Energy Association, to generate one kilowatt hour of electricity from nuclear power 2.3 litres of water are needed. Coal requires 1.9 litres and oil consumes 1.6 litres…Some CSP technology utilises rows of curved mirrors focus heat onto a tube filled with oil which boils water to make steam, in turn spinning a turbine a turbine – this is called a trough system. Another uses reflective mirrors called heliostats to reflect and concentrate sunlight onto liquid-filled tubes used to generate steam and spin turbines.

In the case of trough technology, the water footprint is considerable – around 3.6 litres per kilowatt hour.

This video produced in England shares the benefits of decentralizing even if still using fossil fuels.

V-LIM launch date coming soon!

All this time I thought research and development and prototype design was the hardest part (and believe me it isn’t easy), but the procedural side of launching a new product is pretty damned intense. The brain power required from conceptualization to production is not only extensive but the diversity required puts the old ‘thinking ten moves ahead’ process in a chess game to shame.

There are so many facets to consider and I am so grateful to have backers, partners, friends, lawyers, accountants and employees capable of contributing so much to this effort. This is both an exhilarating time and a critically demanding time but I love what I am doing and look forward to each 16 hour day.

These stills will be animated into some educational videos describing how the LIM works and placed on the Rogue River Wind website that is also being professionally designed.

The above is fun but there is also the nuts and bolts paperwork side, shareholder agreements, manufacturing contracts, procedural manuals and regulatory issues. Tracking regulatory changes and legislative issues like investor owned utility PG&E trying to make competition illegal.

The state wants to encourage power-company competition, green energy and lower rates with the Community Choice law.

So, how does Pacific Gas & Electric Co. respond to these threats to its monopoly?

The utility giant bankrolls a deceptive June ballot initiative that seeks to rewrite California’s constitution, kill upstarts in their tracks and block the expansion of municipal utility companies such as the one saving money for residents of Sacramento.

Considering that Congress hasn’t been able to accomplish much requiring a 60 vote filibuster proof majority rather than the old 51 votes, PG&E’s request to require two-thirds of voters to approve an alternative energy option, dooms renewable energy in California to painful and costly death. Grrrr!

Okay, back to business and the website will carry all our technical information soon and will provide an energy blog with updates just like the one above.

Oregon Jobs and Economic Growth Forum

Last Thursday, I participated in a forum in Salem put on by the US Department of Agriculture related to economic growth in rural America.

The USDA is leading an effort nationwide to listen to Rural America’s thoughts and ideas about what is needed to create jobs and stimulate economic development in rural communities across the country. These forums follow the lead of President Obama’s December 3, 2009, national roundtable discussion. So, plan to attend and share your thoughts and ideas about job creation and economic growth.

In Oregon, the following Community Forums have been scheduled:

> ALBANY, January 21, 9AM-Noon; Linn County Fair & Expo Center, Conference Center Rooms 1 & 2
> REDMOND, January 28, 1-4PM; Central Oregon Community College, Hitchcock Auditorium

Coos County Commissioner Nikki Whitty was there along with Sandy Messerle director of the South Coast Development Council (does anyone know what, if anything, SCDC has successfully developed?).

The forum consisted of two panels, the second putting some focus on energy, hence the reason I was invited. ODOE was represented on the second panel by Bob Repine, Assistant Director, Energy Incentives who began by talking about the opportunities for jobs in Oregon relating to the wind industry. Repine noted that many parts break on big wind turbines and while, “…Oregon will never compete with Europe”, Oregon can manufacture the replacement parts and create jobs.

Oregon could manufacture the generators. The Shepherd’s Flat wind farm awarded a $1.4B contract to GE to ‘assemble’ the turbines with China being the primary manufacturer of components. Shepherd’s Flat like all big wind farms is heavily subsidized with US taxpayer money, so why are we providing jobs for China?

State Senator Chris Edwards, representing part of Lane County, also on the panel, proudly advised that Oregon can trade with China producing fine wood products and other sundries. Now that China has all the jobs, it is no wonder they can afford to import our turned bowls our trinkets.

Naturally, I saw red and leaped up to give my opinion about what the government can do to help with jobs creation, such as insisting taxpayer funded projects be manufactured in the US. Oregon has the manufacturing infrastructure and the technology in place all it appears to lack is the political will.

Neither Messerle or Whitty contributed anything to the forum conversation but when I spoke to Whitty she told me she thought everything “was so interesting”.

New Years catch up #2 the V-LIM wind turbine

Rogue River Wind is very proud to announce the successful development of a high bandwidth wind powered generator capable of working in turbulent, gusty wind at all speeds utilizing the increased aerodynamic efficiencies of ducted fan technology. To be specific what we mean by high bandwidth is that unlike typical power curves where the turbine only produces power between 22 and 29mph for example, the LIM turns on at 8mph but more importantly continues to produce power at 80 or 90mph. Since the power output of a turbine is proportional to the cube of the velocity, every time you double the wind speed you get 8 times the power.

We did it. We will be build one more pre production prototype before beginning the full production V-LIM here in Oregon but what is most exciting is the scalability of the generator.

With a few adjustments generators now being purchased with American tax dollars from China could be built right here in the US with much higher efficiencies and providing American jobs. Something to think about with respect to the new $1.4B Oregon Shepherd’s Flat wind farm slated for 2012. While the LIM generator coupled to the standard open bladed wind turbines will not operate at a high bandwidth because open bladed fans simply cannot, the generator can be stacked and perform much better than the Chinese generators based upon 1930′s technology…. AND MADE IN AMERICA!

We will be making some noise about these jobs going offshore when we can build them right here, providing long term family wage jobs in Oregon, in the coming days and weeks. Please watch the news and contact your representatives to keep American tax dollars in the US.

It has been painful, it has been hard, but boy am I a happy camper!